20110427

How was he thinking?

ELP has blooged and tries to convince everyone that the F-35 is inferior to everything out there.
What a load of jalabalou.
or?

Charts like these are popular among marketing people because they can be correct, if you make assumptions and only use special context. Context that favours your own baby, of course.
So, is it possible to find a context where this chart actually is correct? Yes, probably. Will it be the truth the whole truth and nothing etc… Probably, not.

Why can for instance the F-35 be inferior to the Euro canards in A2A against the SU-family?
Well, they have all got or will have the Meteor missile, and most of the F-35 customers have not, so if your simulations show that the SU-3x can outmanoeuvre the AMRAAM but not the Meteor you will get this result.

How can the F-35 be worse than the 4-th generation fighters in a DEAD mission against a legacy SAM system?
Again, maybe the other planes have more advanced missiles and therefore can attack stand off in a better way than the F-35, but I can’t think of how, on top of my head. But it is not I who shall defend this chart, I’m only trying to figure out how he was thinking.

The cost is again hard to analyse, I for one does not agree that the Gripen is more expensive than the SH, it is half the size and built to be cost effective! But if you leave out fuel economy, and look at hauling instead of mission rate, than perhaps you can twist the numbers to make this assumption.

Go on like this and voĆ­la you have a chart that makes the F-35 worthless and everything else shiny and golden.

The thing is that even how much I hate to admit it, it is not the fighter airplane that is in center of the victory, it is the whole force and how it is connected.
My 5 cent.

3 comments:

  1. nicely done. i'm gonna link to this.

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  2. The only mistake I can see is that you give the possibility of ELP being capable or having access to military sims. He pulled the chart out of his arse
    Jack

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  3. Sorry Jack to be late to comment, but this was written a long time back.
    I can not speak of the capability of ELP or his access. It's probably better than any of us have, still:
    My point is, you can make assumptions in a simulation to suit your own purpose, I’ve seen this before.

    The best thing is to adopt the simulation to the known drawbacks of your opponents system. And assume that the enemy know nothing of your own drawbacks.

    My 5 cent

    OH, and by the way, please keep it civilised here.

    Use the words and language you can stand for even in front of your spouse.
    Respect everyone, even those who disagree with you.

    ReplyDelete